Speaker
Jeppe Søgaard Juul
(CMOL, Niels Bohr Institute)
Description
Diseases emerge, persist and vanish in an ongoing battle for
available hosts. Hosts, on the other hand, defend themselves
through development of immunity that limits the ability of
the pathogens to reinfect old hosts. I will here explore a
multi disease system with emphasis on mutual exclusion. I
demonstrate that such a system develops towards a steady
state, where spreading of individual diseases self-organizes
to a state close to that of critical percolation, without
any separation of time scale or global control mechanism.
For a broad range of introduction rates of new diseases, the
likelihood of transmitting diseases remains nearly constant.
